Cutoff of the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow coma scale for predicting in-hospital mortality in adult patients with trauma: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Early identification of patients at risk of potential death and timely transfer to appropriate healthcare facilities are critical for reducing the number of preventable trauma deaths. This study aimed to establish a cutoff value to predict in-hospital mortality using the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale (rSIG). METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study used data from 23 emergency departments in South Korea between January 2011 and December 2020. The outcome variable was the in-hospital mortality. The relationship between rSIG and in-hospital mortality was plotted using the shape-restricted regression spline method. To set a cutoff for rSIG, we found the point on the curve where mortality started to increase and the point where the slope of the mortality curve changed the most. We also calculated the cutoff value for rSIG using Youden's index. RESULTS: A total of 318,506 adult patients with trauma were included. The shape-restricted regression spline curve showed that in-hospital mortality began to increase when the rSIG value was less than 18.86, and the slope of the graph increased the most at 12.57. The cutoff of 16.5, calculated using Youden's index, was closest to the target under-triage and over-triage rates, as suggested by the American College of Surgeons, when applied to patients with an rSIG of 20 or less. In addition, in patients with traumatic brain injury, when the rSIG value was over 25, in-hospital mortality tended to increase as the rSIG value increased. CONCLUSIONS: We propose an rSIG cutoff value of 16.5 as a predictor of in-hospital mortality in adult patients with trauma. However, in patients with traumatic brain injury, a high rSIG is also associated with in-hospital mortality. Appropriate cutoffs should be established for this group in the future.

Effects of Early Wake-Up Time on Obesity in Adolescents.

Background: Although numerous studies have reported that obesity in adolescents is related to shorter sleep duration, few studies have reported the effect of sleep timing, particularly early wake-up time, on obesity. Objectives: To investigate the association between wake-up time and adolescent obesity. Methods: Using the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey VII data, 1301 middle school and high school students were selected and grouped according to BMI. Sleep timing and lifestyle factors were evaluated using self-reported questionnaires. Results: The mean bedtime and wake-up time were 00:09 am and 07:06 am, respectively. Despite similar bedtimes, the group with overweight/obesity woke up earlier than the group with underweight/normal weight. The BMI z-score and the overweight/obesity relative risk decreased as the wake-up time was delayed, even after adjustment for covariates. Participants who woke up before 06:50 am had a 1.82-fold higher risk of having overweight/obesity than those who woke up after 07:30 am. Participants who woke up late tended to sleep longer than those who woke up early. Conclusions: Waking up early is significantly associated with an increased BMI z-score in adolescents and may be a risk factor for overweight/obesity.

Ultrasound estimates of the epidural depth in the paramedian sagittal oblique and transverse median planes: the correlation between estimated and actual depth to the epidural space in children with scoliosis.

INTRODUCTION: The present study aimed to compare the correlation and agreement of epidural depth estimation using ultrasound in the paramedian sagittal oblique (PSO) versus the transverse median (TM) plane relative to the actual epidural depth observed during midline epidural punctures in children with scoliosis. METHODS: In this prospective observational study, we enrolled 55 children aged 3-14 years with thoracolumbar scoliosis (Cobb angle >10°) requesting postoperative epidural analgesia. Ultrasound imaging was performed to estimate the distance from the skin to the epidural space in the bilateral PSO and TM planes. An anesthesiologist performed midline epidural puncture and measured the actual epidural depth from the skin to the epidural space. The correlation and degree of agreement between the ultrasound-estimated and actual epidural depths were investigated using Pearson's and concordance correlation coefficients. The image quality of the ligamentum flavum and posterior dura mater was compared. RESULTS: In the PSO view, where the larger of the two measurements from both sides was used, both Pearson's and concordance correlation coefficients for comparing the actual epidural and ultrasound-estimated depths were significantly higher than those in the TM view (0.964 vs 0.930, p value=0.002; 0.952 vs 0.892, p value=0.004, respectively). The ligamentum flavum-posterior dura mater unit was more easily distinguished in the PSO view than in the TM view (72.7% vs 38.2%, p value<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The PSO view can be a reliable guide to facilitate epidural puncture in children with scoliosis with better visualization. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04877964.

Altered interictal serum histamine and immunoglobulin E but unchanged tryptase levels in individuals with episodic and chronic migraine.

BACKGROUND: Serum histamine, immunoglobulin E, and tryptase are markers of allergic diseases. Despite the reported association between migraine and allergic diseases, differences in these marker levels between episodic and chronic migraines remain unelucidated. METHODS: We investigated serum histamine, immunoglobulin E, and tryptase levels in 97 and 96 participants with episodic migraine and chronic migraine, respectively, and 56 controls according to the presence of allergic diseases. RESULTS: Serum histamine levels in episodic migraine (median and interquartile ranges, 0.78 [0.65-1.25] ng/mL, p < 0.001) and chronic migraine (0.89 [0.67-1.28] ng/mL, p < 0.001) participants were significantly lower than those in healthy controls (1.19 [0.81-2.08] ng/mL) among the 160 participants without allergic diseases. Serum immunoglobulin E levels in episodic migraine and chronic migraine participants with allergic diseases negatively correlated with headache frequency (correlation coefficient = -0.263, p = 0.017). Serum histamine levels in participants with allergic diseases and serum immunoglobulin E levels in participants without allergic diseases were not significantly different among episodic migraine, chronic migraine, and control groups. Serum tryptase levels did not significantly differ among episodic migraine, chronic migraine, and control participants with and without allergic diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Altered serum histamine and immunoglobulin E levels in episodic migraine and chronic migraine and different profiles concerning allergic diseases suggest the involvement of allergic mechanisms in migraine pathogenesis.

Comparison of humoral immunogenicity in solid organ transplant recipients after third-dose mRNA vaccine with homologous or heterologous schedules: An observational study.

BACKGROUND: Solid organ transplant recipients (SOTRs) are susceptible to severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); however, immunogenicity studies of the Omicron variants per vaccination schedules are still lacking. We examined humoral immunogenicity following third-dose mRNA vaccine administration in Korean SOTRs who received primary COVID-19 vaccine series on homologous or heterologous schedules. METHODS: We recruited SOTRs at Severance Hospital from October 27, 2021, to March 31, 2022. Blood samples were collected between 14 days and 5 months after the second and third mRNA vaccine (BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273) doses. SARS-CoV-2 anti-spike IgG titer was analyzed. The neutralization inhibition rate was analyzed using the surrogate neutralization assay for the wild-type, Delta, and Omicron variants. RESULTS: No significant differences existed in the SARS-CoV-2 anti-spike IgG positivity rate between the homologous BNT162b2/BNT162b2/BNT162b2 (85%) and other heterologous groups (83% of ChAdOx1/ChAdOx1/BNT162b2, 90% of ChAdOx1/ChAdOx1/mRNA-1273, and 78% of ChAdOx1/BNT162b2/BNT162b2). No significant difference existed in the neutralization inhibition rates between the four groups for wild-type, Delta, and Omicron variants. Median neutralization inhibition rates against the Omicron variant (2-5%) were significantly lower than those against the wild-type (87-97%) and Delta (55-89%) variants (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Regardless of the schedule, the neutralization inhibition rate against the Omicron variant was poor; therefore, additional preventive measures are required in such high-risk populations.

Effects of Emergency Transfer Coordination Center on Length of Stay of Critically Ill Patients in the Emergency Department.

INTRODUCTION: Critically ill patients are frequently transferred from other hospitals to the emergency departments (ED) of tertiary hospitals. Due to the unforeseen transfer, the ED length of stay (LOS) of the patient is likely to be prolonged in addition to other potentially adverse effects. In this study we sought to confirm whether the establishment of an organized unit - the Emergency Transfer Coordination Center (ETCC) - to systematically coordinate emergency transfers would be effective in reducing the ED LOS of transferred, critically ill patients. METHODS: The present study is a retrospective observational study focusing on patients who were transferred from other hospitals and admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of the ED in a tertiary hospital located in northwestern Seoul, the capital city of South Korea, from January 2019 - December 2020. The exposure variable of the study was ETCC approval before transfer, and ED LOS was the primary outcome. We used propensity score matching for comparison between the group with ETCC approval and the control group. RESULTS: Included in the study were 1,097 patients admitted to the ICU after being transferred from other hospitals, of whom 306 (27.9%) were transferred with ETCC approval. The median ED LOS in the ETCC-approved group was significantly reduced to 277 minutes compared to 385 minutes in the group without ETCC approval. The ETCC had a greater effect on reducing evaluation time than boarding time, which was the same for populations with different clinical features. CONCLUSION: An ETCC can be effective in systematically reducing the ED LOS of critically ill patients who are transferred from other hospitals to tertiary hospitals that are experiencing severe crowding.

Respiratory Syncytial Virus Outbreak Without Influenza in the Second Year of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic: A National Sentinel Surveillance in Korea, 2021-2022 Season.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate whether respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza virus (IFV) infections would occur in 2021-2022 as domestic nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are easing. METHODS: Data were collected from the Korean Influenza and Respiratory Virus Monitoring System database. The weekly positivity rates of respiratory viruses and number of hospitalizations for acute respiratory infections were evaluated (January 2016-2022). The period from February 2020 to January 2022 was considered the NPI period. The autoregressive integrated moving average model and Poisson analysis were used for data analysis. Data from 14 countries/regions that reported positivity rates of RSV and IFV were also investigated. RESULTS: Compared with the pre-NPI period, the positivity and hospitalization rates for IFV infection during 2021-2022 significantly decreased to 0.0% and 1.0%, respectively, at 0.0% and 1.2% of the predicted values, respectively. The RSV infection positivity rate in 2021-2022 was 1.8-fold higher than that in the pre-NPI period at 1.5-fold the predicted value. The hospitalization rate for RSV was 20.0% of that in the pre-NPI period at 17.6% of the predicted value. The re-emergence of RSV and IFV infections during 2020-2021 was observed in 13 and 4 countries, respectively. CONCLUSION: During 2021-2022, endemic transmission of the RSV, but not IFV, was observed in Korea.

Matched Versus Mixed COVID-19 Vaccinations in Korean Solid Organ Transplant Recipients: An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Solid organ transplant recipients (SOTRs) are vulnerable to severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and exhibit poor antibody responses to COVID-19 vaccines. Herein, we compared the humoral immunogenicity of a mixed vaccine (ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 [ChAd]/BNT162b2 [BNT]) with that of conventional matched vaccines (mRNA, adenoviral vector [AdV-Vec]) in SOTRs. METHODS: Serum samples were collected at Severance Hospital (Seoul, Korea) between September and October 2021 (14 d-5 mo after COVID-19 vaccination; V2). The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 antispike IgG titer (BAU/mL; ELISA) and neutralization inhibition (percentage; neutralization assay) were compared between vaccination groups overall and stratified by V2 (poststudy vaccination visit) timing. RESULTS: Of the 464 participants, 143 (31%) received mRNA vaccines, 170 (37%) received AdV-Vec vaccines, and 151 (33%) received mixed vaccines (all ChAd/BNT). The geometric mean titer for the ChAd/BNT group was 3.2-fold higher than that of the AdV-Vec group (geometric mean ratio, 3.2; confidence interval, 1.9-5.4) but lower than that of the mRNA group (geometric mean ratio, 0.4; confidence interval, 0.2-0.7). Neutralization inhibition in the ChAd/BNT group was 32%, which was higher than that in the AdV-Vec group (21%; P < 0.001) but lower than that in the mRNA group (55%; P = 0.02). There was no difference in geometric mean titer by V2 timing (ChAd/BNT, 45 versus 31, days 14-60; mRNA, 28 versus 15, days 61-150). CONCLUSIONS: The ChAd/BNT group showed higher humoral immunogenicity than the AdV-Vec group, with similar immunogenicity to the mRNA vaccine. Nevertheless, immunogenicity following the primary vaccination series was poor in all vaccine groups, supporting the justification for booster vaccination in SOTRs.

Predisposing Factors and Neurologic Outcomes of Patients with Elevated Serum Amylase and/or Lipase after Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

This study investigated the patient outcomes, incidence, and predisposing factors of elevated pancreatic enzyme levels after OHCA. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients treated with targeted temperature management (TTM) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Elevation of pancreatic enzyme levels was defined as serum amylase or lipase levels that were at least three times the upper limit of normal. The factors associated with elevated pancreatic enzyme levels and their association with neurologic outcomes and mortality 28 days after OHCA were analyzed. Among the 355 patients, 166 (46.8%) patients developed elevated pancreatic enzyme levels. In the multivariable analysis (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval), initial shockable rhythm (0.62, 0.39−0.98, p = 0.04), time from collapse to return of spontaneous circulation (1.02, 1.01−1.04, p < 0.001), and history of coronary artery disease (1.7, 1.01−2.87, p = 0.046) were associated with elevated pancreatic enzyme levels. After adjusting for confounding factors, elevated pancreatic enzyme levels were associated with neurologic outcomes (5.44, 3.35−8.83, p < 0.001) and mortality (3.74, 2.39−5.86, p < 0.001). Increased pancreatic enzyme levels are common in patients treated with TTM after OHCA and are associated with unfavorable neurologic outcomes and mortality at 28 days after OHCA.

Predictors of difficult intubation when using a videolaryngoscope with an intermediate-angled blade during the first attempt: a prospective observational study.

The curvature of a videolaryngoscope blade has been diversified from the standard macintosh-type to the hyperacute-angle-type, resulting in different performances. We aimed to determine the intubation success rate and identify predictors of difficult intubation when using an intermediate-angled videolaryngoscope in the first attempt of intubation under routine anaesthesia settings. We enrolled 808 patients between 19 and 79 years of age, scheduled for elective surgeries under general anaesthesia with orotracheal intubation from July 2017 to November 2018; patients who were candidates for awake intubation were excluded. We obtained patient demographic data and performed airway evaluation before induction of anaesthesia for elective surgeries. We used the UEScope for tracheal intubation with a hockey stick-shaped malleable stylet. The intubation time was defined as the total duration from the entry of the blade into the oropharynx to the detection of first end-tidal carbon dioxide capnogram; this duration was recorded along with the number of intubation attempts. Difficult intubation was defined as either > 60 s duration for tracheal intubation, or > 1 intubation attempt. The use of the UEScope demonstrated a 99.4% success rate for intubation; however, increased difficulties were observed in patients who were male, obese, had a short thyromental distance, limited mouth opening, and high upper-lip-bite test class. Despite the high intubation success rate using an intermediate-angled videolaryngoscope, we recommend preparing backup plans, considering the increased difficulty in patients with certain preoperative features.Clinical trial number and registry URL: Clinical Trials.gov Identifier: NCT03215823 (Date of registration: 12 July).

Age-adjusted quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score for predicting mortality and disease severity in children with infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

We assessed the diagnostic accuracy of the age-adjusted quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (qSOFA) for predicting mortality and disease severity in pediatric patients with suspected or confirmed infection. We conducted a systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science. Eleven studies with a total of 172,569 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio of the age-adjusted qSOFA for predicting mortality and disease severity were 0.69 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.53-0.81), 0.71 (95% CI 0.36-0.91), and 6.57 (95% CI 4.46-9.67), respectively. The area under the summary receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.733. The pooled sensitivity and specificity for predicting mortality were 0.73 (95% CI 0.66-0.79) and 0.63 (95% CI 0.21-0.92), respectively. The pooled sensitivity and specificity for predicting disease severity were 0.73 (95% CI 0.21-0.97) and 0.72 (95% CI 0.11-0.98), respectively. The performance of the age-adjusted qSOFA for predicting mortality and disease severity was better in emergency department patients than in intensive care unit patients. The age-adjusted qSOFA has moderate predictive power and can help in rapidly identifying at-risk children, but its utility may be limited by its insufficient sensitivity.

Efficacy of a four-tier infection response system in the emergency department during the coronavirus disease-2019 outbreak.

INTRODUCTION: The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has delayed the management of other serious medical conditions. This study presents an efficient method to prevent the degradation of the quality of diagnosis and treatment of other critical diseases during the pandemic. METHODS: We performed a retrospective observational study. The primary outcome was ED length of stay (ED LOS). The secondary outcomes were the door-to-balloon time in patients with suspected ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and door-to-brain computed tomography time for patients with suspected stroke. The outcome measures were compared between patients who were treated in the red and orange zones designated as the changeable isolation unit and those who were treated in the non-isolation care unit. To control confounding factors, we performed propensity score matching, following which, outcomes were analyzed for non-inferiority. RESULTS: The mean ED LOS for hospitalized patients in the isolation and non-isolation care units were 406.5 min (standard deviation [SD], 237.9) and 360.2 min (SD, 226.4), respectively. The mean difference between the groups indicated non-inferiority of the isolation care unit (p = 0.037) but not in the patients discharged from the ED (p>0.999). The mean difference in the ED LOS for patients admitted to the ICU between the isolation and non-isolation care units was -22.0 min (p = 0.009). The mean difference in the door-to-brain computed tomography time between patients with suspected stroke in the isolation and non-isolation care units was 7.4 min for those with confirmed stroke (p = 0.013), and -20.1 min for those who were discharged (p = 0.012). The mean difference in the door-to-balloon time between patients who underwent coronary angiography in the isolation and non-isolation care units was -2.1 min (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Appropriate and efficient handling of a properly planned ED plays a key role in improving the quality of medical care for other critical diseases during the COVID-19 outbreak.

Associations of creatinine/cystatin C ratio and postoperative pulmonary complications in elderly patients undergoing off-pump coronary artery bypass surgery: a retrospective study.

Sarcopenia along with nutritional status are associated with postoperative pulmonary complications in various surgical fields. Recently, the creatinine/cystatin C ratio and CONtrolling NUTritional status score were introduced as biochemical indicators for sarcopenia and malnutrition, respectively. We aimed to investigate the associations among these indicators and postoperative pulmonary complications in elderly patients undergoing off-pump coronary artery bypass surgery. We reviewed the medical records of 605 elderly patients (aged ≥ 65 years) who underwent off-pump coronary artery bypass surgery from January 2010 to December 2019. Postoperative pulmonary complications (pneumonia, prolonged ventilation [> 24 h], and reintubation during post-surgical hospitalisation) occurred in 80 patients. A 10-unit increase of creatinine/cystatin C ratio was associated with a reduced risk of postoperative pulmonary complications (odds ratio: 0.80, 95% confidence interval: 0.69-0.92, P = 0.001); the optimal cut-off values for predicting postoperative pulmonary complications was 89.5. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that age, congestive heart failure, and creatinine/cystatin C ratio < 89.5 (odds ratio 2.36, 95% confidence interval 1.28-4.37) were independently associated with the occurrence of postoperative pulmonary complications, whereas CONtrolling NUTritional status score was not. A low creatinine/cystatin C ratio was associated with an increased risk of developing postoperative pulmonary complications after off-pump coronary artery bypass surgery.

Chronological Trends of Breast Ductal Carcinoma In Situ: Clinical, Radiologic, and Pathologic Perspectives.

BACKGROUND: Because no prior studies have evaluated the chronological trends of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) despite the increasing number of surgeries performed for DCIS, this study analyzed how the clinical, radiologic, and pathologic characteristics of DCIS changed during a 10-year period. METHODS: Of 7123 patients who underwent primary breast cancer surgery at a single institution from 2006 to 2015, 792 patients with pure DCIS were included in this study. The chronological trends of age, symptoms, method for detecting either mammography or ultrasonography, tumor size, nuclear grade, comedonecrosis, and molecular markers were calculated using Poisson regression for all patients and asymptomatic patients. RESULTS: During 10 years, DCIS surgery rates significantly increased (p < 0.001). Despite the high percentage of DCIS detected on mammography, the detection rate for DCIS by mammography significantly decreased (97.3% in 2006 to 67.6% in 2015; p = 0.025), whereas the detection rate by ultrasound significantly increased (2.7% to 31.0%; p < 0.001). Conservation surgery rates (odds ratio [OR], 1.058), low-to-intermediate nuclear grade rates (OR, 1.069), and the absence of comedonecrosis (OR, 1.104) significantly increased over time (all p < 0.05). Estrogen receptor (ER) negativity (OR, 0.935) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) positivity rates (OR, 0.953) significantly decreased (all p < 0.05). The same trends were observed for the 613 asymptomatic patients. CONCLUSION: The rate of DCIS detected on ultrasound only significantly increased during 10 years. Low-to-intermediate nuclear grade rates significantly increased, whereas ER negativity and HER2 positivity rates significantly decreased during the same period. These findings suggest that DCIS detected on screening ultrasound is less aggressive than DCIS detected on mammography.

Validity and reliability of the self-administered Visual Aura Rating Scale questionnaire for migraine with aura diagnosis: A prospective clinic-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the validity and reliability of the self-administered Visual Aura Rating Scale (VARS) questionnaire using a hospital-based sample in a cross-sectional setting. BACKGROUND: Visual aura is the most common type of aura manifesting in 98%-99% of migraine with aura (MA). The VARS is a diagnostic rating scale used to quantify the cardinal characteristics of MA and has shown high sensitivity and specificity in the diagnosis of visual aura. METHODS: We translated the VARS into Korean and constructed a five-item self-administered questionnaire based on the VARS. We consecutively recruited first-visit patients with migraine at the neurology clinics of two university hospitals. The scoring of the self-administered VARS questionnaire was the same as that for the original VARS. We assessed criterion validity and internal consistency reliability. The diagnosis of migraine and aura was assigned by two headache neurologists based on a comprehensive clinical assessment using the International Classification of Headache Disorders, 3rd edition. RESULTS: A total of 240 participants with migraine were enrolled. Of these, 55 (22.9%) had MA. All participants with MA had visual aura. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that a cutoff score of 3 provided the highest rate of correct identification of patients ([200/240], 83.3%), with a sensitivity of 96.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 84.5%-99.6%) and specificity of 79.5% (95% CI, 72.9%-85.0%). Cronbach's alpha coefficient was 0.852. CONCLUSION: The self-administered VARS questionnaire is a valid and reliable instrument for the screening of visual aura in patients with migraine in neurology outpatient clinics.

Comparison of the selection of nasotracheal tube diameter based on the patient's sex or size of the nasal airway: A prospective observational study.

When selecting the nasotracheal tube diameter for nasotracheal intubation, atraumatic introduction of the tube through the nasal passage and a safe location of the tube's cuff and tip should be ensured simultaneously. To maintain safety margin for the tube's cuff and tip from the vocal cords and carina (2 cm and 3 cm, respectively), the maximum allowable proximal-cuff-to-tip distance was calculated as 5 cm less than the measured vocal cords-to-carina distance. The primary aim of this study was to find a single predictive preoperative factor of the nostril size and maximum allowable proximal-cuff-to-tip distance of nasotracheal tubes. The secondary aim was to compare the difference in the safety margin between the maximum allowable proximal-cuff-to-tip distance based on the patient's airway and the actual proximal-cuff-to-tip distance of the selected tube. We used fiberoptic bronchoscope to measure the distance from the vocal cords to the carina for the calculation of the maximum allowable proximal-cuff-to-tip distance. We analyzed the association of preoperative characteristics such as age, sex, height, and weight with the nostril size and maximum allowable proximal-cuff-to-tip distance. The proportion of patients with appropriate locations of both the cuff and tip was evaluated. Sex and height were significant predictive factors of the nostril size and maximum allowable proximal-cuff-to-tip distance, respectively (p = 0.0001 and p = 0.0048). The difference in the safety margin was significantly decreased when the tube diameter was selected based on the nostril size rather than by sex (p<0.0001). The proportion of patients who had the appropriate cuff/tip location was significantly larger (75.2%) when the tube diameter was selected by sex compared to when it was selected by the nostril size (65%) (p<0.0001). It is more suitable to select the nasotracheal tube diameter based on sex rather than by nostril size to ensure the safe location of the tube's cuff and tip simultaneously.

Prediction model for bleeding after endoscopic submucosal dissection of gastric neoplasms from a high-volume center.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Bleeding after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is a main adverse event. To date, although there have been several studies about risk factors for post-ESD bleeding, there has been few predictive model for post-ESD bleeding with large volume cases. We aimed to design a prediction model for post-ESD bleeding using a classification tree model. METHODS: We analyzed a prospectively established cohort of patients with gastric neoplasms treated with ESD from 2007 to 2016. Baseline characteristics were collected for a total of 5080 patients, and the bleeding risk was estimated using variable statistical methods such as logistic regression, AdaBoost, and random forest. To investigate how bleeding was affected by independent predictors, the classification and regression tree (CART) method was used. The prediction tree developed for the cohort was internally validated. RESULTS: Post-ESD bleeding occurred in 262 of 5080 patients (5.1%). In multivariate logistic regression, ongoing antithrombotic use during the procedure, cancer pathology, and piecemeal resection were significant risk factors for post-ESD bleeding. In the CART model, the decisive variables were ongoing antithrombotic agent use, resected specimen size ≥49 mm, and patient age <62 years. The CART model accuracy was 94.9%, and the cross-validation accuracy was 94.8%. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a simple and easy-to-apply predictive tree model based on three risk factors that could help endoscopists identify patients at a high risk of bleeding. This model will enable clinicians to establish precise management strategies for patients at a high risk of bleeding and to prevent post-ESD bleeding.

Effects of bisphosphonates on long-term kidney transplantation outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Bisphosphonates are administered to post-transplantation patients with mineral and bone disorders; however, the association between bisphosphonate therapy and long-term renal graft survival remains unclear. METHODS: This nested case-control study investigated the effects of bisphosphonates on long-term graft outcomes after kidney transplantation. We enrolled 3836 kidney transplant recipients treated from April 1979 to June 2016 and matched patients with graft failure to those without (controls). Annual post-transplant bone mineral density assessments were performed and recipients with osteopenia or osteoporosis received bisphosphonate therapy. The associations between bisphosphonate use and long-term graft outcomes and graft survival were analyzed using conditional logistic regression and landmark analyses, respectively. RESULTS: A landmark analysis demonstrated that death-censored graft survival was significantly higher in bisphosphonate users than in non-users in the entire cohort (log-rank test, P < 0.001). In the nested case-control matched cohort, bisphosphonate users had a significantly reduced risk of graft failure than did non-users (odds ratio = 0.38; 95% confidence interval 0.30-0.48). Bisphosphonate use, increased cumulative duration of bisphosphonate use >1 year and increased cumulative bisphosphonate dose above the first quartile were associated with a reduced risk of graft failure, after adjustments. CONCLUSIONS: Bisphosphonates may improve long-term graft survival in kidney transplant recipients.

Oncologic Impact of Local Recurrence in Resected Pancreatic Cancer and Topographic Preference in Local Recurrence Patterns According to Tumor Location.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to investigate the pattern and the oncologic impact of local recurrence after surgical resection of pancreatic cancer. METHODS: From July 1992 to December 2016, 388 patients who underwent curative-intent surgery for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma were retrospectively reviewed. RESULTS: At a median follow-up of 29.0 months, 286 (73.7%) of the 367 patients experienced recurrence, and the 5-year overall survival rate was 31.3%. The first recurrence pattern was local in 83 patients (22.0%), systemic in 152 patients (40.2%), and locosystemic in 51 patients (13.5%). There was no difference in overall survival between the patients who had either local or systemic recurrence (P > 0.05). Remnant pancreas, common hepatic artery, celiac trunk, and para-aortic area were the common local recurrence sites in both head and body/tail cancer. However, the superior mesenteric artery (P = 0.050) and portal vein (P = 0.001) were more frequent local recurrence sites for a head tumor, and the surgical bed was a common recurrence site for body/tail tumor (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows the importance of local recurrence on overall survival and that preferred sites of local recurrence according to tumor location are predictable.